SUDAN INSIGHT ALERT: International Crisis Group –  Reversing Sudan’s Dangerous Coup B

26/10/2021: International Crisis Group –  Reversing Sudan’s Dangerous Coup

 

International Crisis Group (ICG) highlight risks posed to Sudan by the military coup.

 

Firstly, the Sudanese public will not easily accept a return to authoritarian rule, and attempts to put down protests by force are projected to culminate in a “prolonged and bitter standoff that would close the door to resolution of the crisis,” particularly as Sudan’s “sophisticated” protest movement comprising of a countrywide network of local committees able to organise effectively, even amid the internet shutdown.

 

Secondly, the coup may “sow further instability” in the peripheries, as the rebel groups that signed the Juba peace agreement may fight on the central government’s side against holdout groups.

 

Thirdly, the ICG project an economic downturn as the US has paused economic assistance and the EU is “likely to take similar measures”.