SUDAN INSIGHT ALERT: Independent - Sudan's rising strongman has a fragile grip on the military – and a bloody civil war looms
The Independent’s consulting editor Ahmed Aboudouh warns that continued western tolerance of Himedti’s growing power may fuel a Sudanese civil war.
Arguing that “betting on a strong man doesn’t always work,” Aboudouh highlights Saudi and UAE failure to comprehend a “fundamental difference” between their support for Al Sisi in Egypt and Himedti.
Al Sisi built “a solid, deep consensus with the generals,” whereas Himedti “is reliant on a fragile system of mutual deterrence,” resulting in Himedti creating more intra-military enemies during his “ruthless” pursuit of power.